Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 11.326056 12.924382 14.672757 16.728096 19.079446 21.687009 24.800301
2026-02-08 8.939184 10.984731 13.395401 16.449328 20.220603 24.732521 30.551839
2026-02-15 7.517809 9.734921 12.489364 16.169311 20.968174 27.029583 35.292813
2026-02-22 6.877249 9.300818 12.446571 16.839477 22.834536 30.758235 42.074044
2026-03-01 6.242472 8.765832 12.167791 17.104621 24.113833 33.751568 48.085646
2026-03-08 5.624171 8.166617 11.712250 17.037329 24.870187 36.028966 53.241947
2026-03-15 5.089168 7.618602 11.256509 16.894157 25.459537 38.064282 58.169571
2026-03-22 4.824071 7.431284 11.291101 17.451551 27.100775 41.741524 65.844459
2026-03-29 4.568390 7.227845 11.272833 17.909328 28.605152 45.306279 73.630340
2026-04-05 4.377712 7.103357 11.356424 18.519166 30.380193 49.412749 82.616868
2026-04-12 3.989767 6.626467 10.839008 18.107021 30.447891 50.756977 87.130264
2026-04-19 3.668717 6.230059 10.415357 17.804933 30.656534 52.323577 92.117366
2026-04-26 3.376692 5.861873 10.014464 17.516398 30.878231 53.954415 97.412984
2026-05-03 3.113461 5.520856 9.631049 17.222619 31.059251 55.518426 102.714708
2026-05-10 2.877489 5.207273 9.267947 16.929176 31.205368 57.013209 107.991367
2026-05-17 2.817280 5.203262 9.448851 17.631644 33.222631 62.049254 120.348406
2026-05-24 2.698416 5.081101 9.405013 17.909578 34.460414 65.725637 130.394978
2026-05-31 2.541345 4.874373 9.188272 17.839039 35.018364 68.143629 138.151586
2026-06-07 2.387229 4.660955 8.941969 17.688961 35.402558 70.243345 145.429978
2026-06-14 2.335128 4.641677 9.064419 18.273251 37.294239 75.465361 159.597309
2026-06-21 2.273016 4.597306 9.133505 18.753133 39.007335 80.453906 173.701342
2026-06-28 2.231375 4.590709 9.275980 19.392441 41.098899 86.379685 190.340235
2026-07-05 2.079651 4.346210 8.919775 18.960376 40.882534 87.431940 196.325829